2. Bundesliga · 2026

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.41
Expected goals
1.561.3
Shots
15.617.2
Possession
49.8%47.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to FC St. Pauli, 2 drawn, 1 to Karlsruher SC. From this fixture's own record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

FC St. Pauli have a visible home split

weak

FC St. Pauli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match15.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Karlsruher SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Karlsruher SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.6 corners/matchCornersFC St. Pauli · Karlsruher SC● 6.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCBaseline
Corners6.6 corners/match6.67 corners/match5.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Karlsruher SC in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli5 matchesKarlsruher SC6 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61 goal/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/62 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/61.3 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots5/6▲ 17.2 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/65.83 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession5/647.3%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/6● 6.67 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/614.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC St. Pauli
2Draws
1Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga2–1
FC St. Pauli — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga2–1
FC St. Pauli — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga1–1
Karlsruher SC — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga4–4
FC St. Pauli — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

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