PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Coventry City vs Newcastle United · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
01.75
Expected goals
1.040.96
Shots
10.39.75
Possession
39.3%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsCoventry City · Newcastle United14.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CityNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Fouls12.5 fouls/match14.3 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coventry City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coventry City4 matchesNewcastle United4 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 2 goals/match
1.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.96 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots4/49.75 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/43.25 shots/match
39.3%Possession4/4● 46.8%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoventry CityNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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