PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Coventry City 4–1 Newcastle United · Premier League

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Coventry City won 4–1.

Shots
919
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.431.84
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coventry City beat Newcastle United 4–1. Recorded in this match (Coventry City – Newcastle United): shots 9–19, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.43–1.84, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coventry City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Coventry City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.8%PossessionCoventry City · Newcastle United● 51.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CityNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Possession37.8%51.7%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots19 shotsCoventry City 9 shots, Newcastle United 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsCoventry City 6 shots, Newcastle United 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.84 xGCoventry City 1.43 xG, Newcastle United 1.84 xG
  • Possession33%67%Coventry City 33%, Newcastle United 67%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersCoventry City 2 corners, Newcastle United 6 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls10 foulsCoventry City 3 fouls, Newcastle United 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCoventry City 1 card, Newcastle United 1 card
  • Passes261 passes527 passesCoventry City 261 passes, Newcastle United 527 passes
  • Pass accuracy70.9%85.6%Coventry City 70.9%, Newcastle United 85.6%
  • Shots inside box6 shots11 shotsCoventry City 6 shots, Newcastle United 11 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksCoventry City 3 blocks, Newcastle United 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesCoventry City 4 saves, Newcastle United 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides5 offsidesCoventry City 2 offsides, Newcastle United 5 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′Jack RudoniPenalty goal · Coventry City
  2. Half-time
  3. 48′Sidiki CherifGoal · Coventry City
  4. 66′Milan van EwijkYellow card · Coventry City
  5. 70′Sven BotmanGoal · Newcastle United
  6. 81′Ellis SimmsGoal · Coventry City
  7. 81′JoelintonYellow card · Newcastle United
  8. 86′Stephen MfuniGoal · Coventry City
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Newcastle United · 3 player changesJoelinton · Bazoumana Touré · Amar Dedić
  • 61′Coventry City · 1 player changeTatsuhiro Sakamoto
  • 78′Coventry City · 1 player changeFrank Onyeka
  • 78′Newcastle United · 1 player changeWilliam Osula
  • 78′Coventry City · 1 player changeEllis Simms
  • 83′Coventry City · 2 player changesStephen Mfuni · Victor Torp
  • 90′Newcastle United · 1 player changeDan Burn

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Coventry City4-3-3
  1. Carl RushworthG
  2. Ethan PinnockD
  3. Jay DaSilvaD
  4. Bobby ThomasD
  5. Milan van EwijkD
  6. Jack RudoniM
  7. Matt GrimesM
  8. Caleb YirenkyiM
  9. Ephron Mason-ClarkF
  10. Brandon Thomas-AsanteF
  11. Sidiki CherifF

Substitutes

  • Daniel Bentley
  • Stephen Mfuni
  • Joel Latibeaudiere
  • Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
  • Frank Onyeka
  • Victor Torp
  • Gustavo Hamer
  • Ellis Simms
  • Yann Gboho
Newcastle United4-2-3-1
  1. Lukáš HorníčekG
  2. Lewis HallD
  3. Sven BotmanD
  4. Malick ThiawD
  5. Lewis MileyD
  6. Nico GonzálezM
  7. Yoane WissaM
  8. Joe WillockM
  9. Harvey BarnesF
  10. Matías Fernández-PardoF
  11. Jacob MurphyF

Substitutes

  • Nick Pope
  • Fabian Schär
  • Dan Burn
  • Amar Dedić
  • Joelinton
  • Aladji Bamba
  • Sean Steur
  • Bazoumana Touré
  • William Osula

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coventry City favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coventry City6 matchesNewcastle United6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.19 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4 shots/match
37.8%Possession6/6● 51.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.67 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoventry CityNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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