PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Çaykur Rizespor 0–3 Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fenerbahçe won 0–3.

Shots
1913
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.520.96
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fenerbahçe beat Çaykur Rizespor 3–0. Recorded in this match (Çaykur Rizespor – Fenerbahçe): shots 19–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.52–0.96, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Çaykur Rizespor have a visible home split

weak

Çaykur Rizespor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23 shots/match16.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Çaykur Rizespor's recent record differs from the season

weak

Çaykur Rizespor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsÇaykur Rizespor · Fenerbahçe17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricÇaykur RizesporFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match17.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots13 shotsÇaykur Rizespor 19 shots, Fenerbahçe 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsÇaykur Rizespor 5 shots, Fenerbahçe 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.96 xGÇaykur Rizespor 1.52 xG, Fenerbahçe 0.96 xG
  • Possession50%50%Çaykur Rizespor 50%, Fenerbahçe 50%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersÇaykur Rizespor 2 corners, Fenerbahçe 5 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls6 foulsÇaykur Rizespor 4 fouls, Fenerbahçe 6 fouls
  • Passes454 passes458 passesÇaykur Rizespor 454 passes, Fenerbahçe 458 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.4%81.4%Çaykur Rizespor 84.4%, Fenerbahçe 81.4%
  • Shots inside box11 shots10 shotsÇaykur Rizespor 11 shots, Fenerbahçe 10 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks5 blocksÇaykur Rizespor 5 blocks, Fenerbahçe 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesÇaykur Rizespor 2 saves, Fenerbahçe 5 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesÇaykur Rizespor 0 offsides, Fenerbahçe 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Marco AsensioGoal · Fenerbahçe
  2. Half-time
  3. 83′İrfan Can KahveciGoal · Fenerbahçe
  4. 87′Oğuz AydınGoal · Fenerbahçe
  5. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Fenerbahçe · 1 player changeİrfan Can Kahveci
  • 66′Çaykur Rizespor · 1 player changeIustin Doicaru
  • 72′Çaykur Rizespor · 2 player changesEmrecan Bulut · Can Bozdoğan
  • 80′Fenerbahçe · 2 player changesOğuz Aydın · Romelu Lukaku
  • 82′Çaykur Rizespor · 1 player changeGennaro Borrelli
  • 88′Fenerbahçe · 2 player changesKojo Peprah Oppong · İsmail Yüksek

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Çaykur Rizespor
1Draws
4Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe — Çaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig2–2
Çaykur Rizespor — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig2–5
Fenerbahçe — Çaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig3–2
Çaykur Rizespor — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig0–5
Çaykur Rizespor — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Çaykur Rizespor favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Çaykur Rizespor7 matchesFenerbahçe7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.71 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.12 xG/match
16.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 17.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 7.29 shots/match
55%Possession7/755%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.57 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÇaykur RizesporFenerbahçe
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headÇaykur Rizespor — Fenerbahçe
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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