Süper Lig · 2026

Samsunspor 0–3 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Trabzonspor won 0–3.

Shots
2313
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.371.98
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Trabzonspor beat Samsunspor 3–0. Recorded in this match (Samsunspor – Trabzonspor): shots 23–13, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.37–1.98, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Samsunspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Samsunspor have a visible home split

weak

Samsunspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots13 shotsSamsunspor 23 shots, Trabzonspor 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsSamsunspor 6 shots, Trabzonspor 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.98 xGSamsunspor 1.37 xG, Trabzonspor 1.98 xG
  • Possession56%44%Samsunspor 56%, Trabzonspor 44%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersSamsunspor 9 corners, Trabzonspor 5 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls6 foulsSamsunspor 22 fouls, Trabzonspor 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsSamsunspor 2 cards, Trabzonspor 0 cards
  • Passes483 passes391 passesSamsunspor 483 passes, Trabzonspor 391 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.2%79.3%Samsunspor 83.2%, Trabzonspor 79.3%
  • Shots inside box11 shots10 shotsSamsunspor 11 shots, Trabzonspor 10 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks2 blocksSamsunspor 9 blocks, Trabzonspor 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesSamsunspor 4 saves, Trabzonspor 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSamsunspor 1 offside, Trabzonspor 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aral Şimşir · Trabzonspor · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Guarino · Samsunspor · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYalçın Kayan · Samsunspor · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGabriele Guarino · Samsunspor · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Sousa · Samsunspor · 85′ · 0.01 xG · on targetErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCelil Yüksel · Samsunspor · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYalçın Kayan · Samsunspor · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetElliot Watt · Samsunspor · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOzan Tufan · Trabzonspor · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Samsunspor · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElliot Watt · Samsunspor · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOskar Øhlenschlaeger · Samsunspor · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAral Şimşir · Trabzonspor · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFatih Kaya · Samsunspor · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Samsunspor · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLogi Tomasson · Samsunspor · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFatih Kaya · Samsunspor · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFabinho · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Coulibaly · Samsunspor · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYalçın Kayan · Samsunspor · 51′ · 0.13 xG · on targetErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 9′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Trabzonspor · 9′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 87′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Trabzonspor · 89′ · 0.27 xG · on targetFranculino Djú · Trabzonspor · 40′ · 0.35 xG · goalTanguy Coulibaly · Samsunspor · 51′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 27′ · 0.38 xG · goalChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 38′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Samsunspor: 23 shots, 6 on target, 1.36 xG. Trabzonspor: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 27′Chibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 38′Franculino Djú · Trabzonspor · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Samsunspor 1.36 xG · Trabzonspor 2.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Samsunspor
3Draws
1Trabzonspor
Samsunspor — Trabzonspor · Turkish Cup0–0
Samsunspor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig0–3
Trabzonspor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–1
Trabzonspor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig2–2
Samsunspor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Samsunspor favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Samsunspor7 matchesTrabzonspor7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.74 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots7/714 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.57 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession7/754.6%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.57 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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