PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.22.17
Expected goals
1.21.7
Shots
1414.2
Possession
56.6%56.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Samsunspor, 3 drawn, 1 to Trabzonspor. From this fixture's own record: trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsSamsunspor · Trabzonspor14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSamsunsporTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots14 shots/match14.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Trabzonspor have a visible away split

weak

Trabzonspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Samsunspor favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Samsunspor5 matchesTrabzonspor6 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲ 2.17 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲ 1.7 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/614.2 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 6.5 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession5/656.3%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/6● 5.67 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/611.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Samsunspor
3Draws
1Trabzonspor
Samsunspor — Trabzonspor · Turkish Cup0–0
Samsunspor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig0–3
Trabzonspor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–1
Trabzonspor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig2–2
Samsunspor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSamsunsporTrabzonspor
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headSamsunspor — Trabzonspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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