PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor · Süper Lig

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171.2
Expected goals
1.061.2
Shots
11.714
Possession
41.7%56.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Kasımpaşa, 1 drawn, 2 to Samsunspor. From this fixture's own record: samsunspor have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Samsunspor have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.7%PossessionKasımpaşa · Samsunspor● 56.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKasımpaşaSamsunsporBaseline
Possession41.7%56.6%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kasımpaşa favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kasımpaşa6 matchesSamsunspor5 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.2 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/52.2 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 1.2 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/5▲ 14 shots/match
3.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/52.8 shots/match
41.7%Possession6/5● 56.6%
3.83 corners/match ●Corners6/53.6 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/511.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Kasımpaşa
1Draws
2Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor · Süper Lig0–1
Samsunspor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig0–0
Samsunspor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig0–2
Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–4
Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKasımpaşaSamsunspor
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headKasımpaşa — Samsunspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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