PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Samsunspor vs Amed Sportif Faaliyetler · Süper Lig

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
12.5
Expected goals
1.061.72
Shots
1314
Possession
56.8%45.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: samsunspor have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Samsunspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Samsunspor have a visible home split

weak

Samsunspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Samsunspor have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionSamsunspor · Amed Sportif Faaliyetler45.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSamsunsporAmed Sportif FaaliyetlerBaseline
Possession56.8%45.5%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Samsunspor favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Amed Sportif Faaliyetler in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Samsunspor6 matchesAmed Sportif Faaliyetler6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.72 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession6/645.5%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.17 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/614.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSamsunsporAmed Sportif Faaliyetler
CompetitionSüper Lig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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