PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
10.43
Expected goals
0.950.8
Shots
12.99.86
Possession
49.7%42.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: erzurumspor FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: erzurumspor FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Erzurumspor FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Erzurumspor FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Erzurumspor FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Erzurumspor FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsGaziantep FK · Erzurumspor FK9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGaziantep FKErzurumspor FKBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match9.86 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match13.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gaziantep FK favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Erzurumspor FK in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gaziantep FK7 matchesErzurumspor FK7 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.8 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.86 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/73 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession7/742.9%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners7/73.14 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGaziantep FKErzurumspor FK
CompetitionSüper Lig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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