PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Alanyaspor 0–0 Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK drew 0–0.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.891.41
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor FK): shots 14–15, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.89–1.41, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Erzurumspor FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Erzurumspor FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alanyaspor have a visible home split

weak

Alanyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Erzurumspor FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Erzurumspor FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAlanyaspor · Erzurumspor FK9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlanyasporErzurumspor FKBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.86 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsAlanyaspor 14 shots, Erzurumspor FK 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAlanyaspor 5 shots, Erzurumspor FK 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.41 xGAlanyaspor 0.89 xG, Erzurumspor FK 1.41 xG
  • Possession57%43%Alanyaspor 57%, Erzurumspor FK 43%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAlanyaspor 5 corners, Erzurumspor FK 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsAlanyaspor 12 fouls, Erzurumspor FK 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsAlanyaspor 3 cards, Erzurumspor FK 3 cards
  • Passes530 passes394 passesAlanyaspor 530 passes, Erzurumspor FK 394 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%86%Alanyaspor 90%, Erzurumspor FK 86%
  • Shots inside box11 shots13 shotsAlanyaspor 11 shots, Erzurumspor FK 13 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksAlanyaspor 1 block, Erzurumspor FK 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves5 savesAlanyaspor 5 saves, Erzurumspor FK 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesAlanyaspor 1 offside, Erzurumspor FK 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ibrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Yumlu · Erzurumspor FK · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartín Rodríguez · Erzurumspor FK · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMartín Rodríguez · Erzurumspor FK · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Tozlu · Erzurumspor FK · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Tozlu · Erzurumspor FK · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMartín Rodríguez · Erzurumspor FK · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIván Cédric · Alanyaspor · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Diabaté · Erzurumspor FK · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmar Gerxhaliu · Erzurumspor FK · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Yumlu · Erzurumspor FK · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEren Tozlu · Erzurumspor FK · 51′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEren Tozlu · Erzurumspor FK · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedArda Usluoğlu · Alanyaspor · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGuram Giorbelidze · Erzurumspor FK · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Baiye · Erzurumspor FK · 1′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 19′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Baiye · Erzurumspor FK · 57′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Erzurumspor FK · 66′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alanyaspor: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.88 xG. Erzurumspor FK: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alanyaspor 0.88 xG · Erzurumspor FK 1.46 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alanyaspor favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Erzurumspor FK in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alanyaspor7 matchesErzurumspor FK7 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.8 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.86 shots/match
3.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73 shots/match
43.1% ●Possession7/742.9%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/73.14 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlanyasporErzurumspor FK
CompetitionSüper Lig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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