Atlético Nacional
Primera A · 2026Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto · Primera A
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.94–1.15
- Expected goals
- 1.53–1.03
- Shots
- 16.5–11.8
- Possession
- 58.2%–52.2%
30-second read
What the record shows
The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Pasto's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Nacional. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.
Deportivo Pasto's recent record differs from the season
moderateDeportivo Pasto's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 goals/match | 1.15 goals/match | 1.22 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Nacional.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Atlético Nacional | Deportivo Pasto | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 2.09 days | 6.26 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 1 match | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Atlético Nacional have a visible home split
moderateAtlético Nacional's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 19.2 shots/match | 16.5 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Atlético Nacional favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pasto in 0 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Atlético Nacional / Deportivo Pasto
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- The recorded fixture timing is not currently settled.
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
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