PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

AD Ceuta 1–2 CE Sabadell · Segunda División

1–2Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

CE Sabadell won 1–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CE Sabadell's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

CE Sabadell's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CE Sabadell's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AD Ceuta have a visible home split

weak

AD Ceuta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsAD Ceuta · CE Sabadell17.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAD CeutaCE SabadellBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match17.5 fouls/match12.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

AD Ceuta3-4-3
  1. Guillermo VallejoG
  2. Jose MatosD
  3. Albert CaparrósD
  4. Carlos HernándezD
  5. Alejandro CamachoD
  6. Daniel Mas SoriaD
  7. Joaquín GonzálezM
  8. Gabriel OkoroM
  9. Kuki ZalazarF
  10. Jordi EscobarF
  11. Kialy Abdoul KoneF
CE Sabadell4-4-2
  1. Diego FuoliG
  2. Edgar GonzálezD
  3. Ton RipollD
  4. Oscar Sanz NavalD
  5. Eneko AguilarD
  6. Pere PonsM
  7. Ángel BaenaM
  8. Albert OrriolsM
  9. Quadri LiameedM
  10. Nikolay ObolskiyF
  11. Joel PriegoF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AD Ceuta favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CE Sabadell in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AD Ceuta8 matchesCE Sabadell8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1 goal/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.75 goals/match
12 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 15.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
44.1% ●Possession7/640.5%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners7/64.83 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls7/617.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAD CeutaCE Sabadell
CompetitionSegunda División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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