PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

CD Castellón 1–1 AD Ceuta · Segunda División

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CD Castellón and AD Ceuta drew 1–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
24
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

CD Castellón and AD Ceuta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (CD Castellón – AD Ceuta): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–4, possession 72%–28%, corners 3–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AD Ceuta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AD Ceuta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AD Ceuta have a visible away split

weak

AD Ceuta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

CD Castellón have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.8% ●PossessionCD Castellón · AD Ceuta44.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCD CastellónAD CeutaBaseline
Possession62.8%44.1%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsCD Castellón 10 shots, AD Ceuta 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsCD Castellón 2 shots, AD Ceuta 4 shots
  • Possession72%28%CD Castellón 72%, AD Ceuta 28%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCD Castellón 3 corners, AD Ceuta 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsCD Castellón 14 fouls, AD Ceuta 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCD Castellón 1 card, AD Ceuta 3 cards
  • Passes578 passes223 passesCD Castellón 578 passes, AD Ceuta 223 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%70%CD Castellón 90%, AD Ceuta 70%
  • Shots inside box6 shots11 shotsCD Castellón 6 shots, AD Ceuta 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksCD Castellón 2 blocks, AD Ceuta 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveCD Castellón 3 saves, AD Ceuta 1 save
  • Offsides5 offsides2 offsidesCD Castellón 5 offsides, AD Ceuta 2 offsides

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

CD Castellón3-4-2-1
  1. Romain MatthysG
  2. Juanjo NietoD
  3. Agustín SienraD
  4. Alberto JiménezD
  5. Lucas AlcazarD
  6. Íñigo CordobaD
  7. Diego BarriM
  8. Álvaro MartínM
  9. Ousmane CamaraF
  10. Israel SueroF
  11. Adam JakobsenF
AD Ceuta4-3-3
  1. Guillermo VallejoG
  2. Toni AbadD
  3. Jose MatosD
  4. Albert CaparrósD
  5. Carlos HernándezD
  6. Joaquín GonzálezM
  7. AnuarM
  8. Gabriel OkoroM
  9. Alejandro CamachoF
  10. Kuki ZalazarF
  11. Kialy Abdoul KoneF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CD Castellón
2Draws
0AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta — CD Castellón · Segunda División1–1
CD Castellón — AD Ceuta · Segunda División3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CD Castellón favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · AD Ceuta in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CD Castellón8 matchesAD Ceuta8 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
0.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.25 goals/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/712 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/73 shots/match
62.8% ●Possession8/744.1%
4.88 corners/matchCorners8/7● 5.14 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls8/715 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCD CastellónAD Ceuta
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headCD Castellón — AD Ceuta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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