Eredivisie · 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.862
Expected goals
0.922.16
Shots
10.121.7
Possession
35.6%61%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · FC Twente21.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardFC TwenteBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match21.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against20.1 shots/match9.83 shots/match16.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.6%PossessionFortuna Sittard · FC Twente● 61%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardFC TwenteBaseline
Possession35.6%61%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Twente's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.85 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Twente in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard7 matchesFC Twente6 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 2.16 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 21.7 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 8 shots/match
35.6%Possession7/6● 61%
2.14 corners/matchCorners7/6● 7.67 corners/match
9.14 fouls/matchFouls7/610 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortuna Sittard
1Draws
4FC Twente
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–1
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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