PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Fortuna Sittard 1–1 FC Twente · Eredivisie

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente drew 1–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.851.17
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – FC Twente): shots 14–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.85–1.17, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · FC Twente20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardFC TwenteBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match20.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against19.1 shots/match10.5 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.5%PossessionFortuna Sittard · FC Twente● 57.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardFC TwenteBaseline
Possession36.5%57.9%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsFortuna Sittard 14 shots, FC Twente 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFortuna Sittard 5 shots, FC Twente 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.17 xGFortuna Sittard 0.85 xG, FC Twente 1.17 xG
  • Possession43%57%Fortuna Sittard 43%, FC Twente 57%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersFortuna Sittard 5 corners, FC Twente 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls21 foulsFortuna Sittard 9 fouls, FC Twente 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardFortuna Sittard 0 cards, FC Twente 1 card
  • Passes374 passes499 passesFortuna Sittard 374 passes, FC Twente 499 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%84.4%Fortuna Sittard 81%, FC Twente 84.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsFortuna Sittard 7 shots, FC Twente 6 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksFortuna Sittard 6 blocks, FC Twente 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesFortuna Sittard 5 saves, FC Twente 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesFortuna Sittard 2 offsides, FC Twente 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′Anthony DescotteGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  2. 34′Robin PröpperGoal · FC Twente
  3. Half-time
  4. 74′Bart van RooijYellow card · FC Twente
  5. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 55′FC Twente · 1 player changeKristian Hlynsson
  • 67′FC Twente · 1 player changeThomas Van den Belt
  • 75′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeKristoffer Peterson
  • 81′FC Twente · 1 player changeLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
  • 84′Fortuna Sittard · 2 player changesSiebe Wylin · Sven Simons
  • 90′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeDaley Sinkgraven

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Fortuna Sittard
  1. Mattijs BranderhorstG
  2. Rodrigo GuthD
  3. Syb Van OtteleD
  4. Ivo PintoD
  5. Justin HubnerD
  6. Anthony DescotteM
  7. Édouard MichutM
  8. Philip BrittijnM
  9. Shiloh 't ZandF
  10. Lequincio ZeefuikF
  11. Mohamed IhattarenF
FC Twente
  1. Joël DrommelG
  2. Robin PröpperD
  3. Ruud NijstadD
  4. Bart van RooijD
  5. Aske AdelgaardD
  6. Ramiz ZerroukiM
  7. Daouda WeidmannM
  8. Younes TahaM
  9. Marko PjacaF
  10. Wout WeghorstF
  11. Daan RotsF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortuna Sittard
1Draws
4FC Twente
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–1
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Twente in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard8 matchesFC Twente8 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.06 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 20.3 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 7.38 shots/match
36.5%Possession8/8● 57.9%
2.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 7.38 corners/match
9.13 fouls/matchFouls8/811.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardFC Twente
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — FC Twente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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