PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Sheffield United 3–0 Lincoln City · Championship

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sheffield United won 3–0.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.571.32
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sheffield United beat Lincoln City 3–0. Recorded in this match (Sheffield United – Lincoln City): shots 10–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.57–1.32, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lincoln City have a visible away split

moderate

Lincoln City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.44 shots/match ▲ShotsSheffield United · Lincoln City12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedLincoln CityBaseline
Shots8.44 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsSheffield United · Lincoln City14.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedLincoln CityBaseline
Fouls12.2 fouls/match14.1 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsSheffield United 10 shots, Lincoln City 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsSheffield United 5 shots, Lincoln City 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG1.32 xGSheffield United 0.57 xG, Lincoln City 1.32 xG
  • Possession56%44%Sheffield United 56%, Lincoln City 44%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersSheffield United 2 corners, Lincoln City 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsSheffield United 14 fouls, Lincoln City 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsSheffield United 4 cards, Lincoln City 3 cards
  • Passes473 passes349 passesSheffield United 473 passes, Lincoln City 349 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.7%67.9%Sheffield United 79.7%, Lincoln City 67.9%
  • Shots inside box5 shots9 shotsSheffield United 5 shots, Lincoln City 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksSheffield United 3 blocks, Lincoln City 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesSheffield United 3 saves, Lincoln City 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideSheffield United 2 offsides, Lincoln City 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Sam McCallumYellow card · Sheffield United
  2. 26′Conor McGrandlesYellow card · Lincoln City
  3. 39′Liam KitchingYellow card · Sheffield United
  4. 43′Patrick BamfordGoal · Sheffield United
  5. Half-time
  6. 52′Tahith ChongGoal · Sheffield United
  7. 67′Japhet TangangaYellow card · Sheffield United
  8. 67′Deji ElereweYellow card · Lincoln City
  9. 75′Sydie PeckYellow card · Sheffield United
  10. 76′Tom BaylissYellow card · Lincoln City
  11. 77′Patrick BamfordGoal · Sheffield United
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 62′Lincoln City · 3 player changesChiedozie Ogbene · Yunus Konak · Mikkel Ladefoged
  • 73′Sheffield United · 1 player changeMark McGuinness
  • 78′Lincoln City · 1 player changeCallum Elder
  • 78′Sheffield United · 1 player changeRomelle Donovan
  • 79′Lincoln City · 1 player changeTom Hamer
  • 84′Sheffield United · 1 player changeRyan One
  • 85′Sheffield United · 2 player changesTyrese Campbell · Jaïro Riedewald

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Sheffield United3-4-2-1
  1. Michael CooperG
  2. Sam McCallumD
  3. Japhet TangangaD
  4. Hamza ChoudhuryD
  5. Liam KitchingD
  6. Jamal BaptisteD
  7. Kalvin PhillipsM
  8. Sydie PeckM
  9. Romelle DonovanF
  10. Ben Brereton DíazF
  11. Patrick BamfordF
Lincoln City3-4-2-1
  1. George WickensG
  2. Andrei CoubișD
  3. Ryley TowlerD
  4. Sonny BradleyD
  5. Deji ElereweD
  6. Chiedozie OgbeneD
  7. Tom BaylissM
  8. Conor McGrandlesM
  9. Reeco Hackett-FairchildF
  10. Ben HouseF
  11. Freddie DraperF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield United favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Lincoln City in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield United9 matchesLincoln City9 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.22 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.33 xG/match
8.44 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.11 shots/match
41.8% ●Possession9/936.6%
2.78 corners/matchCorners9/9● 3.89 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/914.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSheffield UnitedLincoln City
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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