PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Sheffield United vs Lincoln City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.130.88
Expected goals
0.991.34
Shots
8.2512.4
Possession
40%35.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: lincoln City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lincoln City have a visible away split

weak

Lincoln City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Lincoln City in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield United8 matchesLincoln City8 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.34 xG/match
8.25 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/83.13 shots/match
40% ●Possession8/835.6%
2.88 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.13 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls8/813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSheffield UnitedLincoln City
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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