PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.753.5
Expected goals
1.713.06
Shots
13.821.8
Possession
39.5%70.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · FC Bayern München21.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match21.8 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against20.8 shots/match5.75 shots/match16.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.5%PossessionFC Augsburg · FC Bayern München● 70.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 31.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession39.5%70.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg4 matchesFC Bayern München4 matches
2.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 3.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.71 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 3.06 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 21.8 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 8.75 shots/match
39.5%Possession4/4● 70.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 9.5 corners/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
0Draws
4FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–2
FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3
FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–3
FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0
FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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