PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lorient vs Paris FC · Ligue 1

Lorient

DLWDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.6
Expected goals
1.131.81
Shots
10.413.2
Possession
48%50.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · Paris FC13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientParis FCBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match9.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Paris FC in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient5 matchesParis FC5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.81 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/5● 50.4%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3 corners/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
1Draws
1Paris FC
Lorient — Paris FC · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — Paris FC · Coupe de France2–0
Paris FC — Lorient · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLorient — Paris FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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