PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lorient 1–0 Paris FC · Ligue 1

Lorient

DLWDL
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lorient won 1–0.

Shots
816
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.490.69
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Paris FC): shots 8–16, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.49–0.69, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · Paris FC13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientParis FCBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match9.33 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsLorient 8 shots, Paris FC 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsLorient 5 shots, Paris FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG0.69 xGLorient 0.49 xG, Paris FC 0.69 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lorient 40%, Paris FC 60%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersLorient 3 corners, Paris FC 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsLorient 9 fouls, Paris FC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsLorient 1 card, Paris FC 5 cards
  • Passes468 passes702 passesLorient 468 passes, Paris FC 702 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.5%90.3%Lorient 85.5%, Paris FC 90.3%
  • Shots inside box6 shots8 shotsLorient 6 shots, Paris FC 8 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks9 blocksLorient 0 blocks, Paris FC 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesLorient 3 saves, Paris FC 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesLorient 0 offsides, Paris FC 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 52′Lassine SinayokoYellow card · Paris FC
  3. 58′Hamari TraoréYellow card · Paris FC
  4. 58′Samir CherguiYellow card · Paris FC
  5. 68′Gabin BernardeauGoal · Lorient
  6. 70′Montassar TalbiYellow card · Lorient
  7. 74′Patrick ZabiYellow card · Paris FC
  8. 90′Maxime LópezYellow card · Paris FC
  9. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Paris FC · 2 player changesRudy Matondo · Patrick Zabi
  • 66′Lorient · 2 player changesGabin Bernardeau · Ibrahima Baldé
  • 66′Paris FC · 1 player changeOtávio
  • 78′Paris FC · 1 player changeOmar Sissoko
  • 78′Lorient · 1 player changeArthur Avom Ebong
  • 86′Paris FC · 1 player changeJean-Philippe Krasso
  • 87′Lorient · 1 player changeNosa Edward Obaretin

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Lorient3-4-2-1
  1. Yvon MvogoG
  2. Montassar TalbiD
  3. Théo Le BrisD
  4. Dembo SyllaD
  5. Nathaniel AdjeiD
  6. Arsène KouassiD
  7. Noah CadiouM
  8. Arthur Avom EbongM
  9. Jean Victor MakengoF
  10. Ibrahima BaldéF
  11. Gabin BernardeauF
Paris FC4-2-3-1
  1. Kevin TrappG
  2. Moustapha MbowD
  3. Hamari TraoréD
  4. Adama CamaraD
  5. Diego CoppolaD
  6. Pablo PagisM
  7. Maxime LópezM
  8. Pierre Lees MelouM
  9. Lassine SinayokoF
  10. Ilan KebbalF
  11. Luca KoleoshoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
1Draws
1Paris FC
Lorient — Paris FC · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — Paris FC · Coupe de France2–0
Paris FC — Lorient · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Paris FC in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient6 matchesParis FC6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.62 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.33 shots/match
46.7%Possession6/6● 52%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4 corners/match
9.17 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLorient — Paris FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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