PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.830.83
Expected goals
0.941.94
Shots
9.6715.2
Possession
42.3%53.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: wigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: wigan Athletic have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Wigan Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Wigan Athletic have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionStevenage · Wigan Athletic● 53.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStevenageWigan AthleticBaseline
Possession42.3%53.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Wigan Athletic in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage6 matchesWigan Athletic6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.94 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
42.3%Possession6/6● 53.5%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/69.83 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stevenage
2Draws
1Wigan Athletic
Stevenage — Wigan Athletic · League One1–0
Wigan Athletic — Stevenage · League One0–0
Stevenage — Wigan Athletic · League One1–2
Wigan Athletic — Stevenage · League One0–0
Wigan Athletic — Stevenage · League One2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenageWigan Athletic
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headStevenage — Wigan Athletic
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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