PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage 1–0 Wigan Athletic · League One

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Stevenage won 1–0.

Shots
156
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.080.19
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stevenage beat Wigan Athletic 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stevenage – Wigan Athletic): shots 15–6, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.08–0.19, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Wigan Athletic have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionStevenage · Wigan Athletic● 54.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStevenageWigan AthleticBaseline
Possession43.4%54.6%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsStevenage 15 shots, Wigan Athletic 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotStevenage 6 shots, Wigan Athletic 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.08 xG0.19 xGStevenage 2.08 xG, Wigan Athletic 0.19 xG
  • Possession40%60%Stevenage 40%, Wigan Athletic 60%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersStevenage 2 corners, Wigan Athletic 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsStevenage 9 fouls, Wigan Athletic 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsStevenage 0 cards, Wigan Athletic 4 cards
  • Passes323 passes496 passesStevenage 323 passes, Wigan Athletic 496 passes
  • Pass accuracy70.9%79.8%Stevenage 70.9%, Wigan Athletic 79.8%
  • Shots inside box11 shots2 shotsStevenage 11 shots, Wigan Athletic 2 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksStevenage 2 blocks, Wigan Athletic 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesStevenage 1 save, Wigan Athletic 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesStevenage 2 offsides, Wigan Athletic 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Finley BurnsYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  2. Half-time
  3. 53′Charlie GrayYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  4. 60′Wanya Marcal MadivaduaGoal · Stevenage
  5. 69′Reggie WalshYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  6. 90′James CarragherYellow card · Wigan Athletic
  7. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Wigan Athletic · 2 player changesFraser Murray · Reggie Walsh
  • 66′Stevenage · 2 player changesBen Broggio · Louis Thompson
  • 79′Stevenage · 2 player changesMichael Mellon · Phoenix Patterson
  • 85′Wigan Athletic · 2 player changesArchie Harris · Sonny Perkins

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Stevenage3-4-1-2
  1. Tommy SetfordG
  2. Luther James-WildinD
  3. Carl PiergianniD
  4. Saxon EarleyD
  5. Terence VancootenD
  6. Wanya Marcal MadivaduaD
  7. Daniel PhillipsM
  8. Daniel KempM
  9. Matthew SmithM
  10. Josh MagennisF
  11. Oliver SandersonF

Substitutes

  • Daniel Barden
  • Kaelan Casey
  • Jordan Houghton
  • Louis Thompson
  • Ben Broggio
  • Michael Mellon
  • Phoenix Patterson
Wigan Athletic3-4-2-1
  1. Joe WhitworthG
  2. Connor BarrettD
  3. Jeremiah MullenD
  4. Finley BurnsD
  5. Jon MellishD
  6. James CarragherD
  7. Max PowerM
  8. Charlie GrayM
  9. Jensen WeirF
  10. Scott HoganF
  11. Bradley BurrowesF

Substitutes

  • Joe Walsh
  • Archie Harris
  • K'Marni Miller
  • Fraser Murray
  • Reggie Walsh
  • Sonny Perkins
  • Christian Saydee

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stevenage
2Draws
1Wigan Athletic
Stevenage — Wigan Athletic · League One1–0
Wigan Athletic — Stevenage · League One0–0
Stevenage — Wigan Athletic · League One1–2
Wigan Athletic — Stevenage · League One0–0
Wigan Athletic — Stevenage · League One2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Wigan Athletic in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage8 matchesWigan Athletic8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.88 shots/match
43.4%Possession8/8● 54.6%
3.88 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.88 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenageWigan Athletic
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headStevenage — Wigan Athletic
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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