PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.60.4
Expected goals
1.921.01
Shots
22.614.4
Possession
59.8%60.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.2 corners/matchCornersManchester United · Tottenham Hotspur● 7.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurBaseline
Corners7.2 corners/match7.6 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.6 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Tottenham Hotspur14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots22.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United5 matchesTottenham Hotspur5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match
22.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/514.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/5● 60.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester United
1Draws
3Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · Premier League2–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · UEFA Europa League1–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headManchester United — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required