PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

1–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.2 corners/matchCornersManchester United · Tottenham Hotspur● 7.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurBaseline
Corners7.2 corners/match7.6 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.6 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Tottenham Hotspur14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots22.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Manchester United4-2-3-1
  1. Senne LammensG
  2. Diogo DalotD
  3. Harry MaguireD
  4. Lisandro MartínezD
  5. Luke ShawD
  6. Bruno FernandesM
  7. Youri TielemansM
  8. Kobbie MainooM
  9. Marcus RashfordF
  10. Matheus CunhaF
  11. Bryan MbeumoF
Tottenham Hotspur4-2-3-1
  1. Antonín KinskýG
  2. Jan Paul van HeckeD
  3. Destiny UdogieD
  4. Archie GrayD
  5. Micky van de VenD
  6. Sandro TonaliM
  7. Mateus FernandesM
  8. Mohammed KudusM
  9. SávioF
  10. Dominic SolankeF
  11. Omar MarmoushF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester United
1Draws
3Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · Premier League2–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · UEFA Europa League1–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United5 matchesTottenham Hotspur5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match
22.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/514.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/5● 60.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headManchester United — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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