PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Santos 2–2 Flamengo · Serie A

Santos

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2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santos and Flamengo drew 2–2.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
2.421.15
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos and Flamengo drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Santos – Flamengo): shots 16–12, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 2.42–1.15, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsSantos 16 shots, Flamengo 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsSantos 4 shots, Flamengo 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.42 xG1.15 xGSantos 2.42 xG, Flamengo 1.15 xG
  • Possession45%55%Santos 45%, Flamengo 55%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersSantos 5 corners, Flamengo 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsSantos 16 fouls, Flamengo 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards4 cardsSantos 6 cards, Flamengo 4 cards
  • Passes391 passes490 passesSantos 391 passes, Flamengo 490 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.4%87.8%Santos 85.4%, Flamengo 87.8%
  • Shots inside box10 shots9 shotsSantos 10 shots, Flamengo 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksSantos 2 blocks, Flamengo 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesSantos 3 saves, Flamengo 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesSantos 2 offsides, Flamengo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Santos
0Draws
3Flamengo
Flamengo — Santos · Serie A3–1
Flamengo — Santos · Serie A3–2
Santos — Flamengo · Serie A1–0
Flamengo — Santos · Serie A1–2
Santos — Flamengo · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Flamengo in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos28 matchesFlamengo27 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored28/27▲ 2.04 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.64 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 5.33 shots/match
49.1%Possession28/27● 56.7%
5.11 corners/matchCorners28/27● 5.33 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards8/53 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls28/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosFlamengo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSantos — Flamengo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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