PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vila Nova FC 3–0 Sampaio Correa · Serie B

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 3–0.

Shots
914
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.420.6
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Sampaio Corrêa 3–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Sampaio Corrêa): shots 9–14, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.42–0.6, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vila Nova FC.

6.33 days ▲Rest daysVila Nova FC · Sampaio Corrêa4.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVila Nova FCSampaio CorrêaBaseline
Rest days6.33 days4.96 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsVila Nova FC 9 shots, Sampaio Correa 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotVila Nova FC 3 shots, Sampaio Correa 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.42 xG0.6 xGVila Nova FC 1.42 xG, Sampaio Correa 0.6 xG
  • Possession38%62%Vila Nova FC 38%, Sampaio Correa 62%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersVila Nova FC 4 corners, Sampaio Correa 9 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls14 foulsVila Nova FC 22 fouls, Sampaio Correa 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Sampaio Correa in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC9 matchesSampaio Correa10 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/100.8 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/101.3 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/101.43 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/1016 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/103.6 shots/match
45.1%Possession9/10● 51.5%
6 corners/match ●Corners9/104.4 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls9/1014.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jun 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCSampaio Correa
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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