Serie B · 2023

Chapecoense 0–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 0–1.

Shots
1523
Shots on target
310
Expected goals
1.061.32
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Chapecoense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense – Vila Nova FC): shots 15–23, shots on target 3–10, expected goals 1.06–1.32, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chapecoense, Vila Nova FC.

4 days ▲Rest daysChapecoense · Vila Nova FC3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricChapecoenseVila Nova FCBaseline
Rest days4 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsChapecoense · Vila Nova FC18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChapecoenseVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match18.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match12.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots23 shotsChapecoense 15 shots, Vila Nova FC 23 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots10 shotsChapecoense 3 shots, Vila Nova FC 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.32 xGChapecoense 1.06 xG, Vila Nova FC 1.32 xG
  • Possession51%49%Chapecoense 51%, Vila Nova FC 49%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersChapecoense 6 corners, Vila Nova FC 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls19 foulsChapecoense 17 fouls, Vila Nova FC 19 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense11 matchesVila Nova FC10 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲ 0.3 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 1.77 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots11/10▲ 18.3 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲ 5.5 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession11/1045.5%
6 corners/matchCorners11/106 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1016.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Jun 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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