Serie B · 2023

ABC 0–1 Novorizontino · Serie B

ABC

DLLWL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 0–1.

Shots
919
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.552.45
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat ABC 1–0. Recorded in this match (ABC – Novorizontino): shots 9–19, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.55–2.45, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

ABC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsABC · Novorizontino17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricABCNovorizontinoBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match17.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match9.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

ABC have a visible home split

moderate

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots19 shotsABC 9 shots, Novorizontino 19 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsABC 1 shot, Novorizontino 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG2.45 xGABC 0.55 xG, Novorizontino 2.45 xG
  • Possession50%50%ABC 50%, Novorizontino 50%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersABC 8 corners, Novorizontino 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls19 foulsABC 12 fouls, Novorizontino 19 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC10 matchesNovorizontino10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.4 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.88 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 17.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.9 shots/match
47% ●Possession10/1045.9%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.5 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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