Serie B · 2023

Vila Nova FC 1–0 Vitória · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–0.

Shots
2211
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.990.77
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Vitória 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Vitória): shots 22–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.99–0.77, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória have a visible away split

moderate

Vitória's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsVila Nova FC · Vitória13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVila Nova FCVitóriaBaseline
Shots19 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots11 shotsVila Nova FC 22 shots, Vitória 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 3 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG0.77 xGVila Nova FC 1.99 xG, Vitória 0.77 xG
  • Possession44%56%Vila Nova FC 44%, Vitória 56%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersVila Nova FC 7 corners, Vitória 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls18 foulsVila Nova FC 18 fouls, Vitória 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC16 matchesVitória16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/160.81 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.33 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots15/1513.9 shots/match
5.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.93 shots/match
47.1%Possession15/15● 50.1%
6.13 corners/match ●Corners15/154.53 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 11 Jul 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required