Serie B · 2023

Chapecoense 2–1 CRB · Serie B

2–1Historical match

CRB

WDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense won 2–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.61.34
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense beat CRB 2–1. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense – CRB): shots 10–13, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.6–1.34, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB.

8.75 days ▲Rest daysChapecoense · CRB3.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricChapecoenseCRBBaseline
Rest days8.75 days3.85 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Chapecoense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chapecoense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsChapecoense · CRB13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChapecoenseCRBBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match16.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsChapecoense 10 shots, CRB 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsChapecoense 3 shots, CRB 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.34 xGChapecoense 1.6 xG, CRB 1.34 xG
  • Possession38%62%Chapecoense 38%, CRB 62%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersChapecoense 6 corners, CRB 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls15 foulsChapecoense 21 fouls, CRB 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense16 matchesCRB16 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.13 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/161.22 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots15/1613 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/163.56 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession15/1649.2%
5.73 corners/match ●Corners15/164.19 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1616.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Jul 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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