PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Criciúma 1–1 Guarani · Serie B

1–1Historical match

Guarani

DWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma and Guarani drew 1–1.

Shots
216
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.340.45
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma and Guarani drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Guarani): shots 21–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.34–0.45, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma have a visible home split

moderate

Criciúma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

weak

Guarani's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots6 shotsCriciúma 21 shots, Guarani 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsCriciúma 7 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.45 xGCriciúma 1.34 xG, Guarani 0.45 xG
  • Possession63%37%Criciúma 63%, Guarani 37%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersCriciúma 4 corners, Guarani 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsCriciúma 8 fouls, Guarani 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma17 matchesGuarani17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.29 goals/match
0.59 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/170.88 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.18 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.8 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.81 shots/match
48.3%Possession16/16● 51%
4.63 corners/matchCorners16/16● 4.94 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Jul 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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