Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 1–0 Criciúma · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–0.

Shots
139
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.181.11
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Criciúma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Criciúma): shots 13–9, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.18–1.11, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma have a visible away split

moderate

Criciúma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.13 shots/match13 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciúma.

9.94 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · Criciúma4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo-SPCriciúmaBaseline
Rest days9.94 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsBotafogo-SP 13 shots, Criciúma 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotBotafogo-SP 6 shots, Criciúma 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.11 xGBotafogo-SP 1.18 xG, Criciúma 1.11 xG
  • Possession42%58%Botafogo-SP 42%, Criciúma 58%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersBotafogo-SP 9 corners, Criciúma 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsBotafogo-SP 12 fouls, Criciúma 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP17 matchesCriciúma18 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/18▲ 0.61 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals17/171 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots17/1713 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.41 shots/match
45.3%Possession17/17● 48.8%
6.71 corners/match ●Corners17/174.76 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 18 Jul 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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