PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 1–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

CRB

LWWLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–0.

Shots
189
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.560.45
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Ponte Preta): shots 18–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.56–0.45, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB, Ponte Preta.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysCRB · Ponte Preta2.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCRBPonte PretaBaseline
Rest days3.04 days2.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsCRB 18 shots, Ponte Preta 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsCRB 7 shots, Ponte Preta 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG0.45 xGCRB 1.56 xG, Ponte Preta 0.45 xG
  • Possession65%35%CRB 65%, Ponte Preta 35%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersCRB 7 corners, Ponte Preta 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsCRB 14 fouls, Ponte Preta 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB18 matchesPonte Preta19 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/190.53 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.16 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.3 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target18/183.89 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession18/1846.4%
4.17 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.44 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls18/1816 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Jul 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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