Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 2–0 Tombense · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 2–0.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
2.050.67
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Tombense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Tombense): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 2.05–0.67, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tombense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tombense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mirassol, Tombense.

2.85 days ▲Rest daysMirassol · Tombense3.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMirassolTombenseBaseline
Rest days2.85 days3.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mirassol have a visible home split

moderate

Mirassol's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsMirassol 12 shots, Tombense 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotMirassol 3 shots, Tombense 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.67 xGMirassol 2.05 xG, Tombense 0.67 xG
  • Possession55%45%Mirassol 55%, Tombense 45%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersMirassol 7 corners, Tombense 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsMirassol 11 fouls, Tombense 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol19 matchesTombense19 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.95 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.32 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.34 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.56 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession18/1851.4%
5.11 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.5 corners/match
16.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Jul 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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