Serie B · 2023

Criciúma 0–1 Novorizontino · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 0–1.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.280.81
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Criciúma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Novorizontino): shots 15–15, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.28–0.81, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino.

4.88 days ▲Rest daysCriciúma · Novorizontino2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCriciúmaNovorizontinoBaseline
Rest days4.88 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma have a visible home split

moderate

Criciúma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsCriciúma 15 shots, Novorizontino 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Novorizontino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.81 xGCriciúma 1.28 xG, Novorizontino 0.81 xG
  • Possession58%42%Criciúma 58%, Novorizontino 42%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersCriciúma 6 corners, Novorizontino 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsCriciúma 14 fouls, Novorizontino 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma19 matchesNovorizontino19 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.26 goals/match
0.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.58 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲ 1.75 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 17.1 shots/match
4.39 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲ 5 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession18/1948.6%
4.83 corners/matchCorners18/19● 6.74 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1917.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Jul 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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