PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ituano 1–0 Tombense · Serie B

Ituano

DDLLD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 1–0.

Shots
712
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.231
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Tombense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Tombense): shots 7–12, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.23–1, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tombense.

5 days ▲Rest daysItuano · Tombense3.33 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricItuanoTombenseBaseline
Rest days5 days3.33 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsItuano 7 shots, Tombense 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsItuano 3 shots, Tombense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1 xGItuano 1.23 xG, Tombense 1 xG
  • Possession47%53%Ituano 47%, Tombense 53%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersItuano 5 corners, Tombense 5 corners
  • Fouls27 fouls12 foulsItuano 27 fouls, Tombense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
0Draws
1Tombense
Tombense — Ituano · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano21 matchesTombense21 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored21/210.95 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.33 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.33 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.65 shots/match
50.3%Possession20/20● 52.2%
4.95 corners/matchCorners20/20● 6.45 corners/match
18.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 3 Aug 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoTombense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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