PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 1–1 Chapecoense · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Londrina and Chapecoense drew 1–1.

Shots
2411
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.71.69
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina and Chapecoense drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Chapecoense): shots 24–11, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.7–1.69, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots11 shotsLondrina 24 shots, Chapecoense 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsLondrina 6 shots, Chapecoense 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.69 xGLondrina 1.7 xG, Chapecoense 1.69 xG
  • Possession42%58%Londrina 42%, Chapecoense 58%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersLondrina 9 corners, Chapecoense 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsLondrina 19 fouls, Chapecoense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
0Draws
1Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Londrina · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina21 matchesChapecoense20 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored21/20▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed21/20▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals20/19▲ 1.25 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots20/19▲ 13.8 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 4.21 shots/match
45.8%Possession20/19● 50%
5.85 corners/match ●Corners20/195.42 corners/match
18 fouls/matchFouls20/1916.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 3 Aug 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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