PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ponte Preta 1–0 Chapecoense · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

Shots
199
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.290.36
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Chapecoense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Chapecoense): shots 19–9, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.29–0.36, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ponte Preta, Chapecoense.

3.85 days ▲Rest daysPonte Preta · Chapecoense3.75 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPonte PretaChapecoenseBaseline
Rest days3.85 days3.75 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsPonte Preta 19 shots, Chapecoense 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotPonte Preta 6 shots, Chapecoense 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.29 xG0.36 xGPonte Preta 2.29 xG, Chapecoense 0.36 xG
  • Possession48%52%Ponte Preta 48%, Chapecoense 52%
  • Corners6 corners11 cornersPonte Preta 6 corners, Chapecoense 11 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsPonte Preta 17 fouls, Chapecoense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
1Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta22 matchesChapecoense21 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 1.05 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.29 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals21/20▲ 1.21 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 4.05 shots/match
45.2%Possession21/20● 50.1%
4.24 corners/matchCorners21/20● 5.7 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls21/2015.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Aug 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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