PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

ABC 1–1 Ituano · Serie B

ABC

LDDLL
1–1Historical match

Ituano

LLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

ABC and Ituano drew 1–1.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.761.31
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

ABC and Ituano drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (ABC – Ituano): shots 11–10, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.76–1.31, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.61 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC have a visible home split

strong

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsABC 11 shots, Ituano 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsABC 2 shots, Ituano 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.31 xGABC 0.76 xG, Ituano 1.31 xG
  • Possession47%53%ABC 47%, Ituano 53%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersABC 4 corners, Ituano 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls24 foulsABC 15 fouls, Ituano 24 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0ABC
0Draws
1Ituano
Ituano — ABC · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC23 matchesItuano23 matches
0.61 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.04 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals22/220.96 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 3.59 shots/match
46.4%Possession22/22● 50.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2218.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Aug 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsABCItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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