PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

ABC 1–2 CRB · Serie B

ABC

DDLLD
1–2Historical match

CRB

WLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–2.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.940.74
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat ABC 2–1. Recorded in this match (ABC – CRB): shots 10–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.94–0.74, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC have a visible home split

moderate

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsABC 10 shots, CRB 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsABC 5 shots, CRB 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.74 xGABC 0.94 xG, CRB 0.74 xG
  • Possession61%39%ABC 61%, CRB 39%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersABC 8 corners, CRB 3 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls20 foulsABC 22 fouls, CRB 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0ABC
1Draws
0CRB
CRB — ABC · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC24 matchesCRB23 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored24/23▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/23▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.17 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 3.65 shots/match
47%Possession23/23● 49.5%
4.65 corners/match ●Corners23/234.22 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2316.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Aug 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsABCCRB
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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