PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 1–1 Avaí · Serie B

CRB

LWDDW
1–1Historical match

Avaí

LDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB and Avaí drew 1–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.520.67
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB and Avaí drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (CRB – Avaí): shots 15–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.52–0.67, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible away split

moderate

Avaí's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsCRB 15 shots, Avaí 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCRB 4 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.67 xGCRB 1.52 xG, Avaí 0.67 xG
  • Possession53%47%CRB 53%, Avaí 47%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersCRB 3 corners, Avaí 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsCRB 13 fouls, Avaí 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB24 matchesAvaí24 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.92 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals24/231.13 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2311.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/233.35 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession24/2348.9%
4.17 corners/matchCorners24/23● 4.91 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls24/2315.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 24 Aug 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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