Serie B · 2023

CRB 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

CRB

WDDWD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–0.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.521.05
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Novorizontino): shots 13–16, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.52–1.05, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysCRB · Novorizontino6.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCRBNovorizontinoBaseline
Rest days2.96 days6.09 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Novorizontino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Novorizontino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Novorizontino16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBNovorizontinoBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match16.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsCRB 13 shots, Novorizontino 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCRB 4 shots, Novorizontino 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.05 xGCRB 1.52 xG, Novorizontino 1.05 xG
  • Possession59%41%CRB 59%, Novorizontino 41%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersCRB 5 corners, Novorizontino 3 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls19 foulsCRB 21 fouls, Novorizontino 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CRB
0Draws
0Novorizontino
Novorizontino — CRB · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB25 matchesNovorizontino25 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.67 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 16.9 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5 shots/match
50% ●Possession25/2548.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.64 corners/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2518 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Aug 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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