Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 1–2 Chapecoense · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense won 1–2.

Shots
109
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.011.45
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense beat Botafogo-SP 2–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Chapecoense): shots 10–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.01–1.45, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chapecoense.

5.1 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · Chapecoense3.24 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo-SPChapecoenseBaseline
Rest days5.1 days3.24 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo-SP have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsBotafogo-SP 10 shots, Chapecoense 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsBotafogo-SP 4 shots, Chapecoense 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.45 xGBotafogo-SP 1.01 xG, Chapecoense 1.45 xG
  • Possession47%53%Botafogo-SP 47%, Chapecoense 53%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBotafogo-SP 6 corners, Chapecoense 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls26 foulsBotafogo-SP 16 fouls, Chapecoense 26 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP24 matchesChapecoense24 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.25 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.26 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on target24/23▲ 4 shots/match
45.4%Possession24/23● 49.6%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners24/235.39 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2315.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 24 Aug 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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