PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Guarani 0–1 Juventude · Serie B

Guarani

WWWDD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 0–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.190.78
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Juventude): shots 14–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.19–0.78, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible home split

moderate

Guarani's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsGuarani 14 shots, Juventude 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotGuarani 3 shots, Juventude 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.78 xGGuarani 1.19 xG, Juventude 0.78 xG
  • Possession66%34%Guarani 66%, Juventude 34%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersGuarani 2 corners, Juventude 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsGuarani 9 fouls, Juventude 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Guarani
0Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Guarani · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani23 matchesJuventude23 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/230.87 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.3 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 3.91 shots/match
50.5%Possession22/22● 52.5%
4.64 corners/match ●Corners22/224.59 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2215.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Aug 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required