PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Juventude 0–2 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 0–2.

Shots
115
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.260.89
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Juventude 2–0. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Vila Nova FC): shots 11–5, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.26–0.89, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsJuventude 11 shots, Vila Nova FC 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotJuventude 3 shots, Vila Nova FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.26 xG0.89 xGJuventude 1.26 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.89 xG
  • Possession64%36%Juventude 64%, Vila Nova FC 36%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersJuventude 5 corners, Vila Nova FC 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsJuventude 13 fouls, Vila Nova FC 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
0Draws
1Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Juventude · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude22 matchesVila Nova FC22 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.14 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.55 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.46 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 17.4 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.9 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession21/2149.2%
4.81 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.86 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2115 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Aug 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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