PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Avaí 4–2 Tombense · Serie B

Avaí

WLDWD
4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 4–2.

Shots
1223
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
2.554.43
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Tombense 4–2. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Tombense): shots 12–23, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 2.55–4.43, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible home split

moderate

Avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots23 shotsAvaí 12 shots, Tombense 23 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsAvaí 5 shots, Tombense 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG4.43 xGAvaí 2.55 xG, Tombense 4.43 xG
  • Possession54%46%Avaí 54%, Tombense 46%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersAvaí 4 corners, Tombense 11 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsAvaí 19 fouls, Tombense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
0Draws
0Tombense
Tombense — Avaí · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí23 matchesTombense24 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored23/24▲ 1 goal/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/241.46 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals22/23▲ 1.43 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots22/23▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target22/23▲ 4.57 shots/match
49%Possession22/23● 51.3%
4.91 corners/matchCorners22/23● 6.17 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls22/2312.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíTombense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required