PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 0–1 Juventude · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 0–1.

Shots
95
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
1.510.29
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Mirassol 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Juventude): shots 9–5, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 1.51–0.29, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude.

4.9 days ▲Rest daysMirassol · Juventude3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMirassolJuventudeBaseline
Rest days4.9 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots5 shotsMirassol 9 shots, Juventude 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotMirassol 1 shot, Juventude 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.29 xGMirassol 1.51 xG, Juventude 0.29 xG
  • Possession63%37%Mirassol 63%, Juventude 37%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersMirassol 5 corners, Juventude 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls15 foulsMirassol 20 fouls, Juventude 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mirassol
0Draws
0Juventude
Juventude — Mirassol · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol25 matchesJuventude25 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored25/251.04 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.26 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2413 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.67 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession24/2452.6%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners24/244.83 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2415.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Aug 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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