Serie B · 2023

Vila Nova FC 2–0 Mirassol · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–0.

Shots
98
Shots on target
30
Expected goals
0.730.3
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Mirassol 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Mirassol): shots 9–8, shots on target 3–0, expected goals 0.73–0.3, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vila Nova FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mirassol have a visible away split

moderate

Mirassol's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Mirassol have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4%PossessionVila Nova FC · Mirassol● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVila Nova FCMirassolBaseline
Possession48.4%58%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsVila Nova FC 9 shots, Mirassol 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots0 shotsVila Nova FC 3 shots, Mirassol 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.3 xGVila Nova FC 0.73 xG, Mirassol 0.3 xG
  • Possession28%72%Vila Nova FC 28%, Mirassol 72%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerVila Nova FC 3 corners, Mirassol 1 corner
  • Fouls23 fouls10 foulsVila Nova FC 23 fouls, Mirassol 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vila Nova FC
1Draws
0Mirassol
Mirassol — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC24 matchesMirassol24 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.04 goals/match
0.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/240.96 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.33 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/2314 shots/match
4.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.57 shots/match
48.4%Possession23/23● 58%
5.74 corners/match ●Corners23/235.04 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2316.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 18 Aug 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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