PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vila Nova FC 0–1 CRB · Serie B

0–1Historical match

CRB

DDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 0–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.360.66
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Vila Nova FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – CRB): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.36–0.66, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vila Nova FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match17 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsVila Nova FC · CRB12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVila Nova FCCRBBaseline
Shots17 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsVila Nova FC 16 shots, CRB 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsVila Nova FC 7 shots, CRB 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.66 xGVila Nova FC 1.36 xG, CRB 0.66 xG
  • Possession52%48%Vila Nova FC 52%, CRB 48%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersVila Nova FC 3 corners, CRB 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsVila Nova FC 17 fouls, CRB 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vila Nova FC
0Draws
0CRB
CRB — Vila Nova FC · Serie B0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC26 matchesCRB26 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.08 goals/match
0.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.04 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/261.18 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots25/2612.5 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/263.69 shots/match
49.1%Possession25/26● 49.9%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners25/264.19 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2616 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCCRB
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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