PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 1–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP and Sport Recife drew 1–1.

Shots
815
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.50.77
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP and Sport Recife drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Sport Recife): shots 8–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.5–0.77, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.08 corners/matchCornersBotafogo-SP · Sport Recife● 6.23 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBotafogo-SPSport RecifeBaseline
Corners6.08 corners/match6.23 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsBotafogo-SP 8 shots, Sport Recife 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsBotafogo-SP 4 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG0.77 xGBotafogo-SP 1.5 xG, Sport Recife 0.77 xG
  • Possession40%60%Botafogo-SP 40%, Sport Recife 60%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersBotafogo-SP 2 corners, Sport Recife 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsBotafogo-SP 12 fouls, Sport Recife 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo-SP
0Draws
1Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP26 matchesSport Recife26 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.19 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots26/2613.2 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.04 shots/match
45.4%Possession26/26● 50.6%
6.08 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.23 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Sept 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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