PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Criciúma 1–0 Vitória · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–0.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.541.39
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Vitória 1–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Vitória): shots 17–17, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.54–1.39, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsCriciúma 17 shots, Vitória 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG1.39 xGCriciúma 1.54 xG, Vitória 1.39 xG
  • Possession45%55%Criciúma 45%, Vitória 55%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersCriciúma 4 corners, Vitória 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsCriciúma 17 fouls, Vitória 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Criciúma
0Draws
0Vitória
Vitória — Criciúma · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma31 matchesVitória31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.35 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.32 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots30/3013.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.73 shots/match
49.3%Possession30/30● 50.4%
4.77 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.9 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Oct 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaVitória
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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