PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vitória 2–0 Guarani · Serie B

2–0Historical match

Guarani

WWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 2–0.

Shots
169
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.910.59
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Guarani 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Guarani): shots 16–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.91–0.59, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória have a visible home split

moderate

Vitória's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsVitória 16 shots, Guarani 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsVitória 7 shots, Guarani 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG0.59 xGVitória 1.91 xG, Guarani 0.59 xG
  • Possession62%38%Vitória 62%, Guarani 38%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersVitória 3 corners, Guarani 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsVitória 10 fouls, Guarani 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Guarani
Guarani — Vitória · Serie B2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória32 matchesGuarani32 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.22 goals/match
0.81 goals/matchGoals allowed32/320.78 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.16 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.3 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target31/313.71 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession31/3149.7%
4.84 corners/matchCorners31/314.84 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Oct 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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