PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sampaio Correa 0–1 Vitória · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 0–1.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.741.96
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Sampaio Corrêa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sampaio Corrêa – Vitória): shots 13–17, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.74–1.96, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible home split

strong

Sampaio Corrêa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsSampaio Correa 13 shots, Vitória 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsSampaio Correa 1 shot, Vitória 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.96 xGSampaio Correa 0.74 xG, Vitória 1.96 xG
  • Possession50%50%Sampaio Correa 50%, Vitória 50%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersSampaio Correa 2 corners, Vitória 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsSampaio Correa 15 fouls, Vitória 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sampaio Correa
0Draws
1Vitória
Vitória — Sampaio Correa · Serie B2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sampaio Correa favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sampaio Correa33 matchesVitória33 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.36 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals31/32▲ 1.36 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots31/3213.6 shots/match
3.03 shots/matchShots on target31/32▲ 3.91 shots/match
49.9%Possession31/32● 50.8%
4.52 corners/matchCorners31/32● 4.94 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3213.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSampaio CorreaVitória
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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