PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Juventude 2–2 Sport Recife · Serie B

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude and Sport Recife drew 2–2.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.681.57
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude and Sport Recife drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Sport Recife): shots 10–10, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.68–1.57, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsJuventude 10 shots, Sport Recife 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsJuventude 3 shots, Sport Recife 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG1.57 xGJuventude 0.68 xG, Sport Recife 1.57 xG
  • Possession48%52%Juventude 48%, Sport Recife 52%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersJuventude 3 corners, Sport Recife 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls24 foulsJuventude 15 fouls, Sport Recife 24 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
0Draws
1Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Juventude · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude32 matchesSport Recife32 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.59 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.03 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals31/32▲ 1.33 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots31/3213.4 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target31/32▲ 4.28 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession31/3251.3%
4.71 corners/matchCorners31/32● 6.47 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Oct 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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