PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sport Recife 2–1 Chapecoense · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 2–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.070.42
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Chapecoense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Chapecoense): shots 15–13, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.07–0.42, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chapecoense have a visible away split

moderate

Chapecoense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsSport Recife 15 shots, Chapecoense 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsSport Recife 5 shots, Chapecoense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.42 xGSport Recife 1.07 xG, Chapecoense 0.42 xG
  • Possession53%47%Sport Recife 53%, Chapecoense 47%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersSport Recife 7 corners, Chapecoense 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsSport Recife 6 fouls, Chapecoense 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Sport Recife · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife33 matchesChapecoense33 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.91 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.12 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/321.17 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots33/3213.3 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/323.72 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession33/3249.3%
6.48 corners/match ●Corners33/325.06 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3215.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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