PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Chapecoense 1–2 Tombense · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tombense won 1–2.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.341.77
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tombense beat Chapecoense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense – Tombense): shots 20–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.34–1.77, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense have a visible home split

moderate

Chapecoense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsChapecoense 20 shots, Tombense 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsChapecoense 7 shots, Tombense 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.77 xGChapecoense 1.34 xG, Tombense 1.77 xG
  • Possession60%40%Chapecoense 60%, Tombense 40%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersChapecoense 3 corners, Tombense 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsChapecoense 14 fouls, Tombense 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chapecoense
0Draws
1Tombense
Tombense — Chapecoense · Serie B4–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense34 matchesTombense34 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.32 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.32 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots33/3314.1 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.12 shots/match
49.6%Possession33/33● 50.2%
5 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.55 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 31 Oct 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChapecoenseTombense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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