PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 3–2 Chapecoense · Serie B

CRB

LWDLD
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 3–2.

Shots
2212
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
1.690.94
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Chapecoense 3–2. Recorded in this match (CRB – Chapecoense): shots 22–12, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.69–0.94, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chapecoense have a visible away split

moderate

Chapecoense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots12 shotsCRB 22 shots, Chapecoense 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsCRB 8 shots, Chapecoense 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG0.94 xGCRB 1.69 xG, Chapecoense 0.94 xG
  • Possession55%45%CRB 55%, Chapecoense 45%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersCRB 4 corners, Chapecoense 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsCRB 18 fouls, Chapecoense 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CRB
0Draws
1Chapecoense
Chapecoense — CRB · Serie B2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB35 matchesChapecoense35 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/350.94 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.2 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals35/341.16 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots35/3413.5 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target35/343.82 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession35/3449.4%
4.31 corners/matchCorners35/34● 4.97 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls35/3415.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 8 Nov 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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